If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The earlier the price appears the more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now be a big earner for them. They have to do that since they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news which could allow them to have an advantage. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are able to take a ‘big’ bet on the result of a match. This really is clearly great news for the arb maker. Because of this the highest bets they will accept over a bet are many higher.
There are numerous kinds of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. There are the first goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you will find a lot of outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer market is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions with this sport. They are going to price up the sport in their own individual country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers committed to the game. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their countries they may be depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between groups of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of the home team get talked up and the odds could easily get skewed inside their favour as the weight of money is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that said the major bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and by and large stick with it. Because of this a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by offering different odds. If this would happen the arb may be around for a considerable amount of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds ought to be just like you and me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong along with other firms can have a completely different take a look at the end result of a game. An entirely different view will only result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are covered by many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This does however put in a complication. Although really simple for locating arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are likely to get spotted from the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You have to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy.
This is a fairly obscure part of betting and in case someone was to check your account over several months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it might ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different type of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be a problem as much different sports are great for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are generally not as likely to draw in attention to you together with the maximum bets will likely be higher.
As before you can not control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can come in handy on your own account. The point here is which not lots of people are considering the lower European divisions plus it may become clear that the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is also true if your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. In case a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and he is the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned approximately play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices because the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can work as the punter or perhaps the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels usually have comprehensive news coverage of all games and they are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all concurrently, only one by one so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The new prices are the one which wont change the previous price is one that is going to therefore may be lost should you be not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more inclined to appear.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total number of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others failed to. This will affect the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity between the teams where case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet will not figure strongly within your plans. And it also is unusual to discover information being issued which will affect the total bookings bet. But a simple bit of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to a number of arb. The conclusion will not be to expect excessive sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it simple enough to check the percentages.